Today / Opava vs Han. Kromeriz

Opava vs Han. Kromeriz Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Opava

PPG 2.25 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Han. Kromeriz

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=59.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-15.4%0-22.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.7%1-110.3%1-24.6%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.2%2-19.9%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.1%3-16.3%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-14.6%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.8% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 15.3% — — —

Over 2.5 52.8% — — —

Over 3.5 30.5% — — —

BTTS 51.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.5%

H 60% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 9.9%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Opava1.9

Han. Kromeriz0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OPAVA · PPG 2.25

HAN. KROMERIZ · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=59.8%

Win probability 1X2

Opava (H) 59.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Han. Kromeriz (A) 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Opava face Han. Kromeriz on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Opava a 60% chance, the draw 25% and Han. Kromeriz 15%, so Opava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Opava and 0.9 for Han. Kromeriz (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Opava are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Han. Kromeriz. This match finished 2-2.

Opava vs Han. Kromeriz Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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