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Retz vs Neusiedl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 29 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Retz

PPG 0.62 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Neusiedl

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.62), Away POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-17.9%0-26.3%0-33.3%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.0%1-111.2%1-28.9%1-34.7%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-17.9%2-26.3%2-33.3%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.3%3-13.7%3-22.9%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 40.1% — — —

Over 2.5 57.7% — — —

Over 3.5 35.3% — — —

BTTS 61.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.9%

A 40% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 0–0 5.0%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Retz1.4

Neusiedl1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.7% · O3.5 PROB 35.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RETZ · PPG 0.62

NEUSIEDL · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.62), Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Retz (H) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Neusiedl (A) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Retz face Neusiedl in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Retz a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Neusiedl 40%, so Neusiedl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Retz and 1.6 for Neusiedl (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Retz are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 0.50 for Neusiedl. This match finished 1-3.

Retz vs Neusiedl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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