Today / A. Lustenau vs Bregenz

A. Lustenau vs Bregenz Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

A. Lustenau
PPG 2.15 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Bregenz
PPG 0.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.8%0-22.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.4%1-19.8%1-25.1%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.5%3-16.8%3-23.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-15.5%4+-22.9%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 59.1%
Draw 23.8%
Away win 17.1%
Over 2.5 59.4%
Over 3.5 37.0%
BTTS 57.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob57.6%

H 59% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%
#2 2–1 9.9%
#3 2–0 9.6%
#4 1–0 9.4%
#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Lustenau2.0
Bregenz1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

A. LUSTENAU · PPG 2.15

BREGENZ · PPG 0.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs P(Home)=59.1%

Win probability 1X2

A. Lustenau (H) 59.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bregenz (A) 17.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Lustenau face Bregenz on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Lustenau a 59% chance, the draw 24% and Bregenz 17%, so A. Lustenau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for A. Lustenau and 1.0 for Bregenz (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Lustenau are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 0.46 for Bregenz. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org