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Vllaznia S. vs Bylis Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Vllaznia S.

PPG 2.56 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Bylis

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-18.0%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.0%1-111.9%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.9%2-18.8%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.9%3-14.4%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% 66.7% 1.50 -20.3%

Draw 29.9% 26.3% 3.80 +13.6%

Away win 16.9% 18.2% 5.50 -7.0%

Over 2.5 38.5% 47.6% 2.10 -19.1%

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 42.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob42.3%

H 53% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.0%

#2 1–1 11.9%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vllaznia S.1.5

Bylis0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VLLAZNIA S. · PPG 2.56

BYLIS · PPG 0.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.56) vs P(Home)=53.1%

Win probability 1X2

Vllaznia S. (H) 53.1%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -20.3%

Draw 29.9%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +13.6%

Bylis (A) 16.9%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -7.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vllaznia S. face Bylis in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vllaznia S. a 53% chance, the draw 30% and Bylis 17%, so Vllaznia S. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Vllaznia S. and 0.7 for Bylis (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vllaznia S. are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 0.56 for Bylis. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Vllaznia S. vs Bylis Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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