Teuta Durres vs KF Tirana Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Albania - Superliga Regular Season - 34 Stadiumi Niko Dovana Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00

Teuta Durres PPG 1.25

0-1 HIT CS4

KF Tirana PPG 1.00

Draw· +3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Teuta Durres face KF Tirana in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teuta Durres a 40% chance, the draw 33% and KF Tirana 27%, so Teuta Durres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Teuta Durres and 0.9 for KF Tirana (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teuta Durres are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for KF Tirana. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.0%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -8.0%

Draw 33.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +3.5%

Away 26.6%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -22.9%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.5% Odds: 2.38 -15.5%

Over 3.5 16.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 44.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✔

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Teuta Durres

1.19

KF Tirana

0.93

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)