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Partizani T. vs Flamurtari Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Partizani T.

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

Flamurtari

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-111.3%0-25.7%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.3%1-113.3%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.8%2-17.9%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.1%3-13.1%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% 27.8% 3.60 +35.7%

Draw 33.1% 27.0% 3.70 +22.5%

Away win 29.2% 57.1% 1.75 -48.9%

Over 2.5 37.3% 46.5% 2.15 -19.8%

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.9%

D 33% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.3%

#3 1–0 13.3%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Partizani T.1.2

Flamurtari1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PARTIZANI T. · PPG 1.44

FLAMURTARI · PPG 0.88

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Partizani T. (H) 37.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +35.7%

Draw 33.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +22.5%

Flamurtari (A) 29.2%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -48.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Partizani T. face Flamurtari in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Partizani T. a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Flamurtari 29%, so Partizani T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Partizani T. and 1.0 for Flamurtari (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Partizani T. are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.88 for Flamurtari. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +35.7%. This match finished 1-4.

Partizani T. vs Flamurtari Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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