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Partizani T. vs Flamurtari Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Albania - Superliga logo Albania flag Albania - Superliga Regular Season - 34 Arena e Demave· Tirana Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00
Partizani T. logo Partizani T. PPG 1.44
1-4 MISS
Flamurtari logo Flamurtari PPG 0.88
Home· +35.7% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Partizani T. face Flamurtari in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Partizani T. a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Flamurtari 29%, so Partizani T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Partizani T. and 1.0 for Flamurtari (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Partizani T. are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.88 for Flamurtari. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +35.7%. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.7%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +35.7%
Draw 33.1%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +22.5%
Away 29.2%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -48.9%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.3% Odds: 2.15 -19.8%
Over 3.5 17.7% Odds: —
BTTS 45.9% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Partizani T.
1.18
Flamurtari
1.01

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.88)

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