Today / Wolverhampton vs Sunderland

Wolverhampton vs Sunderland Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Wolverhampton

PPG 0.71 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sunderland

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-111.8%0-27.7%0-33.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.9%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.4%2-17.1%2-24.6%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.0%3-12.6%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% — — —

Draw 31.3% — — —

Away win 39.4% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 22.2% — — —

BTTS 50.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob50.5%

A 39% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 43% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.1%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 1–0 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wolverhampton1.1

Sunderland1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 22.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLVERHAMPTON · PPG 0.71

SUNDERLAND · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Wolverhampton (H) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sunderland (A) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wolverhampton face Sunderland on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wolverhampton a 29% chance, the draw 31% and Sunderland 39%, so Sunderland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Wolverhampton and 1.3 for Sunderland (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wolverhampton are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.00 for Sunderland. This match finished 1-1.

Wolverhampton vs Sunderland Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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