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Altona vs St. Pauli B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:30

Altona

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

St. Pauli B

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.73)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.6%0-24.0%0-32.3%0-4+1.5%1 1-05.0%1-18.7%1-27.6%1-34.4%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.0%3-15.2%3-24.5%3-32.6%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.8%4+-23.3%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 34.8% — — —

Over 2.5 70.3% — — —

Over 3.5 49.2% — — —

BTTS 71.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob71.4%

H 41% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.7%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Altona1.9

St. Pauli B1.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.3% · O3.5 PROB 49.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ALTONA · PPG 1.00

ST. PAULI B · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Altona (H) 40.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

St. Pauli B (A) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Altona face St. Pauli B in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altona a 41% chance, the draw 24% and St. Pauli B 35%, so Altona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Altona and 1.7 for St. Pauli B (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altona are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.73 for St. Pauli B. This match finished 1-1.

Altona vs St. Pauli B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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