Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 30 Szusza Ferenc Stadion· Budapest Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

Ujpest PPG 1.27

7-2 MISS

Nyiregyhaza PPG 1.29

Away· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ujpest face Nyiregyhaza in Hungary - NB I on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ujpest a 38% chance, the draw 25% and Nyiregyhaza 37%, so Ujpest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ujpest and 1.4 for Nyiregyhaza (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ujpest are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.29 for Nyiregyhaza. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 7-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.3%

Odds: 2.22 EV: -15.0%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -14.1%

Away 36.8%

Odds: 2.86 EV: +5.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.8% Odds: 1.85 +1.4%

Over 3.5 32.4% Odds: 3.20 +3.7%

BTTS 58.1% Odds: 1.67 -3.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ujpest

1.45

Nyiregyhaza

1.42

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.29)