Today / Pretoria U. vs Lerumo Lions

Pretoria U. vs Lerumo Lions Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Pretoria U.

PPG 1.54 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Lerumo Lions

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-19.8%0-25.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.1%1-112.9%1-26.9%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.0%2-18.6%2-24.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.5%3-13.8%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% — — —

Draw 31.3% — — —

Away win 28.2% — — —

Over 2.5 42.9% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 50.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.2%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 43% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0✓ 9.1%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pretoria U.1.3

Lerumo Lions1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PRETORIA U. · PPG 1.54

LERUMO LIONS · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Pretoria U. (H) 40.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lerumo Lions (A) 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pretoria U. face Lerumo Lions on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pretoria U. a 41% chance, the draw 31% and Lerumo Lions 28%, so Pretoria U. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pretoria U. and 1.1 for Lerumo Lions (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pretoria U. are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.08 for Lerumo Lions. This match finished 0-0.

Pretoria U. vs Lerumo Lions Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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