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Milford vs The Bees Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Milford

PPG 2.23 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

The Bees

PPG 0.46 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-19.5%0-24.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.2%1-112.7%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-18.5%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.6%3-13.8%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 37.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 43.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.8%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 15.2%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 2–1✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Milford1.3

The Bees0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MILFORD · PPG 2.23

THE BEES · PPG 0.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=46.7%

Win probability 1X2

Milford (H) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

The Bees (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Milford face The Bees in South-Africa - 1st Division on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milford a 47% chance, the draw 32% and The Bees 21%, so Milford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Milford and 0.8 for The Bees (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milford are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 0.46 for The Bees. This match finished 2-1.

Milford vs The Bees Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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