Today / Brescia W vs Vicenza W

Brescia W vs Vicenza W Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Brescia W
PPG 1.64 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Vicenza W
PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.55)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-16.9%0-24.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.9%1-111.1%1-27.8%1-33.7%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.3%2-18.9%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.4%3-14.8%3-23.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.7%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.6%
Draw 27.5%
Away win 32.0%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Over 3.5 35.5%
BTTS 62.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.0%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 1–2 7.8%
#4 0–0 4.9%
#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brescia W1.6
Vicenza W1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.9% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BRESCIA W · PPG 1.64

VICENZA W · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.55)

Win probability 1X2

Brescia W (H) 40.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vicenza W (A) 32.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brescia W face Vicenza W on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brescia W a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Vicenza W 32%, so Brescia W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Brescia W and 1.4 for Vicenza W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brescia W are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.55 for Vicenza W. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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