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Wurzburger FV vs Stadeln Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Wurzburger FV

PPG 1.21 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Stadeln

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.21) > Away POOR (0.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.1%0-23.6%0-31.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.8%1-19.7%1-26.9%1-33.3%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.1%3-15.9%3-24.2%3-32.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-14.3%4+-23.1%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 64.8% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 66.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob66.3%

H 47% / xG 1.9-1.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wurzburger FV1.9

Stadeln1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WURZBURGER FV · PPG 1.21

STADELN · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.21) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Wurzburger FV (H) 47.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stadeln (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wurzburger FV face Stadeln in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wurzburger FV a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Stadeln 28%, so Wurzburger FV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Wurzburger FV and 1.4 for Stadeln (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wurzburger FV are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 0.71 for Stadeln. This match finished 1-0.

Wurzburger FV vs Stadeln Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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