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F. Regensburg vs Neudrossenfeld Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

F. Regensburg

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Neudrossenfeld

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.8%0-22.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.4%1-18.2%1-26.3%1-33.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.9%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.2%3-16.5%3-24.9%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-15.8%4+-24.4%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 25.7% — — —

Over 2.5 71.3% — — —

Over 3.5 50.4% — — —

BTTS 70.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob70.5%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1✓ 8.9%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

F. Regensburg2.2

Neudrossenfeld1.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.3% · O3.5 PROB 50.4%

Form & verdict PPG

F. REGENSBURG · PPG 2.00

NEUDROSSENFELD · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

F. Regensburg (H) 51.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Neudrossenfeld (A) 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

F. Regensburg face Neudrossenfeld in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives F. Regensburg a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Neudrossenfeld 26%, so F. Regensburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for F. Regensburg and 1.5 for Neudrossenfeld (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, F. Regensburg are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.21 for Neudrossenfeld. This match finished 2-1.

F. Regensburg vs Neudrossenfeld Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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