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Bayern Hof vs J. Regensburg B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Bayern Hof

PPG 1.57 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

J. Regensburg B

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.86)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.7%0-23.7%0-31.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.8%1-19.1%1-27.2%1-33.7%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.6%3-15.7%3-24.5%3-32.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.3%4+-23.4%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 30.2% — — —

Over 2.5 68.0% — — —

Over 3.5 46.4% — — —

BTTS 69.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.1%

H 45% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1✓ 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayern Hof1.9

J. Regensburg B1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYERN HOF · PPG 1.57

J. REGENSBURG B · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Bayern Hof (H) 45.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

J. Regensburg B (A) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayern Hof face J. Regensburg B in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayern Hof a 45% chance, the draw 25% and J. Regensburg B 30%, so Bayern Hof are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bayern Hof and 1.6 for J. Regensburg B (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayern Hof are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.86 for J. Regensburg B. This match finished 2-1.

Bayern Hof vs J. Regensburg B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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