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Veres vs Episentr Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:30

Veres

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLLL

3 – 3

FULL TIME

Episentr

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-111.2%0-25.8%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.7%1-113.3%1-27.0%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.6%2-17.9%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.0%3-13.1%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% 36.4% 2.75 +2.6%

Draw 32.7% 33.3% 3.00 -1.9%

Away win 30.0% 40.8% 2.45 -26.5%

Over 2.5 38.7% 45.5% 2.20 -14.9%

Over 3.5 18.8% 25.0% 4.00 -24.8%

BTTS 47.1% 54.6% 1.83 -13.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.1%

D 33% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.7%

#3 1–0 12.7%

#4 0–1 11.2%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Veres1.2

Episentr1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.7% · O3.5 PROB 18.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VERES · PPG 1.25

EPISENTR · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

47%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Veres (H) 37.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +2.6%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -1.9%

Episentr (A) 30.0%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -26.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Veres face Episentr in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Veres a 37% chance, the draw 33% and Episentr 30%, so Veres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Veres and 1.0 for Episentr (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Veres are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.08 for Episentr. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 3-3.

Veres vs Episentr Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Premier League Predictions