Today / Ferencvaros W vs MTK Hungaria W

Ferencvaros W vs MTK Hungaria W Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Ferencvaros W
PPG 2.67 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
MTK Hungaria W
PPG 2.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.67), Away EXCELLENT (2.56)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.9%0-24.4%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.9%1-110.3%1-27.7%1-33.8%1-4+2.0%2 2-06.0%2-18.9%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.5%3-15.2%3-23.8%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.3%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.1%
Draw 26.2%
Away win 31.7%
Over 2.5 62.5%
Over 3.5 40.3%
BTTS 65.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob65.4%

H 42% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 1–2 7.7%
#4 2–2 6.6%
#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ferencvaros W1.7
MTK Hungaria W1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.5% · O3.5 PROB 40.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FERENCVAROS W · PPG 2.67

MTK HUNGARIA W · PPG 2.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.67), Away EXCELLENT (2.56)

Win probability 1X2

Ferencvaros W (H) 42.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
MTK Hungaria W (A) 31.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferencvaros W face MTK Hungaria W on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferencvaros W a 42% chance, the draw 26% and MTK Hungaria W 32%, so Ferencvaros W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Ferencvaros W and 1.5 for MTK Hungaria W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferencvaros W are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 2.56 for MTK Hungaria W. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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