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Kornburg vs Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Kornburg

PPG 1.36 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Weiden

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away GOOD (1.62)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-18.3%0-26.0%0-32.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.2%1-111.7%1-28.4%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.3%2-26.0%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.7%3-13.9%3-22.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 36.3% — — —

Over 2.5 54.3% — — —

Over 3.5 32.0% — — —

BTTS 59.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.5%

D 28% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.7%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.8%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kornburg1.4

Weiden1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KORNBURG · PPG 1.36

WEIDEN · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away GOOD (1.62)

Win probability 1X2

Kornburg (H) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Weiden (A) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kornburg face Weiden in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kornburg a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Weiden 36%, so Weiden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kornburg and 1.4 for Weiden (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kornburg are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.62 for Weiden. This match finished 1-1.

Kornburg vs Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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