Today / Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord / Gebenbach vs E. Bamberg

Gebenbach vs E. Bamberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Gebenbach

PPG 1.71 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

E. Bamberg

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.0%0-26.0%0-33.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.5%1-111.4%1-28.6%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.4%2-18.1%2-26.2%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.6%3-13.9%3-22.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 37.9% — — —

Over 2.5 56.4% — — —

Over 3.5 34.0% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.0%

D 28% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 0–0 5.3%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gebenbach1.4

E. Bamberg1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.4% · O3.5 PROB 34.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GEBENBACH · PPG 1.71

E. BAMBERG · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Gebenbach (H) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

E. Bamberg (A) 37.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gebenbach face E. Bamberg in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gebenbach a 34% chance, the draw 28% and E. Bamberg 38%, so E. Bamberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Gebenbach and 1.5 for E. Bamberg (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gebenbach are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.50 for E. Bamberg. This match finished 4-0.

Gebenbach vs E. Bamberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord Predictions