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Eltersdorf vs Neumarkt Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Eltersdorf

PPG 1.93 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Neumarkt

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.0%0-24.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.5%1-110.5%1-27.3%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.2%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.8%3-15.4%3-23.8%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.5%4+-22.4%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 60.9% — — —

Over 3.5 38.6% — — —

BTTS 63.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.8%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eltersdorf1.8

Neumarkt1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ELTERSDORF · PPG 1.93

NEUMARKT · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Eltersdorf (H) 44.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Neumarkt (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eltersdorf face Neumarkt in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eltersdorf a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Neumarkt 29%, so Eltersdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Eltersdorf and 1.4 for Neumarkt (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eltersdorf are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.57 for Neumarkt. This match finished 3-0.

Eltersdorf vs Neumarkt Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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