Today / Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord / Cham vs Grossschwarz.

Cham vs Grossschwarz. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Cham

PPG 2.07 · HOME

6 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Grossschwarz.

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-14.6%0-22.6%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.4%1-19.5%1-25.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.7%2-19.9%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.0%3-16.8%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-15.7%4+-23.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.5% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 18.8% — — —

Over 2.5 62.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.8% — — —

BTTS 60.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.7%

H 57% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 8.7%

#4 1–0 8.4%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cham2.1

Grossschwarz.1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CHAM · PPG 2.07

GROSSSCHWARZ. · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=57.5%

Win probability 1X2

Cham (H) 57.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Grossschwarz. (A) 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cham face Grossschwarz. in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cham a 57% chance, the draw 24% and Grossschwarz. 19%, so Cham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Cham and 1.1 for Grossschwarz. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cham are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 0.71 for Grossschwarz.. This match finished 6-2.

Cham vs Grossschwarz. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord Predictions