Today / Stadtallendorf vs Hanauer SC

Stadtallendorf vs Hanauer SC Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Stadtallendorf

PPG 1.47 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hanauer SC

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.7%0-23.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.5%1-19.6%1-26.1%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.1%3-16.5%3-24.1%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-15.2%4+-23.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 41.8% — — —

BTTS 63.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.9%

H 53% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stadtallendorf2.0

Hanauer SC1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 41.8%

Form & verdict PPG

STADTALLENDORF · PPG 1.47

HANAUER SC · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Stadtallendorf (H) 53.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hanauer SC (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stadtallendorf face Hanauer SC on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stadtallendorf a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Hanauer SC 22%, so Stadtallendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Stadtallendorf and 1.3 for Hanauer SC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stadtallendorf are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.08 for Hanauer SC. This match finished 4-0.

Stadtallendorf vs Hanauer SC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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