Today / Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg

Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Fulda-Lehnerz

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Freiberg

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.3%0-26.4%0-33.3%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.4%1-111.4%1-28.9%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.1%2-17.9%2-26.1%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.3%3-13.6%3-22.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.1% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 40.0% — — —

Over 2.5 56.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.7% — — —

BTTS 60.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob60.6%

D 28% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 0–0 5.3%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fulda-Lehnerz1.4

Freiberg1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FULDA-LEHNERZ · PPG 1.67

FREIBERG · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Fulda-Lehnerz (H) 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Freiberg (A) 40.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fulda-Lehnerz face Freiberg on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fulda-Lehnerz a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Freiberg 40%, so Freiberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Fulda-Lehnerz and 1.6 for Freiberg (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fulda-Lehnerz are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.67 for Freiberg. This match finished 0-2.

Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions