Today / S. Siegen vs Bonner SC

S. Siegen vs Bonner SC Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

S. Siegen

PPG 1.73 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bonner SC

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-17.4%0-24.0%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.1%1-111.9%1-26.4%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.9%2-19.5%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.7%3-15.1%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 27.9% — — —

BTTS 54.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.2%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–0 8.9%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Siegen1.6

Bonner SC1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

S. SIEGEN · PPG 1.73

BONNER SC · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

S. Siegen (H) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bonner SC (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Siegen face Bonner SC on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Siegen a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Bonner SC 24%, so S. Siegen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for S. Siegen and 1.1 for Bonner SC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Siegen are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.47 for Bonner SC. This match finished 1-2.

S. Siegen vs Bonner SC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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