Today / Lotte vs Dusseldorf B

Lotte vs Dusseldorf B Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Lotte
PPG 1.20 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Dusseldorf B
PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.5%0-24.8%0-32.4%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.1%1-110.7%1-28.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.9%2-18.8%2-26.5%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.2%3-14.8%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.8%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 39.8%
Draw 26.8%
Away win 33.3%
Over 2.5 60.7%
Over 3.5 38.3%
BTTS 64.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.1%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 2–1 8.8%
#3 1–2 8.0%
#4 2–2 6.5%
#5 0–0 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lotte1.6
Dusseldorf B1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 38.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LOTTE · PPG 1.20

DUSSELDORF B · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Lotte (H) 39.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Dusseldorf B (A) 33.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lotte face Dusseldorf B on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lotte a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Dusseldorf B 33%, so Lotte are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lotte and 1.5 for Dusseldorf B (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lotte are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.27 for Dusseldorf B. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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