Today / FC Koln B vs Rodinghausen

FC Koln B vs Rodinghausen Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

FC Koln B

PPG 1.53 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Rodinghausen

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.87)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.7%0-23.6%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.0%1-19.2%1-27.1%1-33.6%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.8%3-15.8%3-24.4%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.4%4+-23.4%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 29.3% — — —

Over 2.5 67.5% — — —

Over 3.5 45.9% — — —

BTTS 68.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob68.6%

H 46% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1✓ 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Koln B1.9

Rodinghausen1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.5% · O3.5 PROB 45.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FC KOLN B · PPG 1.53

RODINGHAUSEN · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

FC Koln B (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rodinghausen (A) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Koln B face Rodinghausen on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Koln B a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Rodinghausen 29%, so FC Koln B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for FC Koln B and 1.5 for Rodinghausen (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Koln B are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.87 for Rodinghausen. This match finished 2-1.

FC Koln B vs Rodinghausen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions