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Schoningen vs HSC Hannover Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Schoningen

PPG 1.07 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

HSC Hannover

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.3%0-22.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-04.6%1-17.5%1-26.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.2%2-18.5%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.0%3-16.5%3-25.3%3-32.8%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-16.3%4+-25.1%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 26.2% — — —

Over 2.5 74.8% — — —

Over 3.5 54.8% — — —

BTTS 73.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob73.2%

H 52% / xG 2.3-1.6 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 1–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schoningen2.3

HSC Hannover1.6

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.8% · O3.5 PROB 54.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHONINGEN · PPG 1.07

HSC HANNOVER · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Schoningen (H) 51.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HSC Hannover (A) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schoningen face HSC Hannover in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schoningen a 52% chance, the draw 22% and HSC Hannover 26%, so Schoningen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Schoningen and 1.6 for HSC Hannover (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schoningen are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.80 for HSC Hannover. This match finished 1-4.

Schoningen vs HSC Hannover Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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