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Meppen vs Bremer SV Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Meppen

PPG 2.53 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bremer SV

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-14.2%0-22.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.8%1-19.2%1-24.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.5%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.8%3-17.1%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-16.3%4+-23.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.4% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 16.0% — — —

Over 2.5 62.0% — — —

Over 3.5 39.8% — — —

BTTS 58.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.7%

H 61% / xG 2.2-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 3–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meppen2.2

Bremer SV1.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MEPPEN · PPG 2.53

BREMER SV · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.53) vs P(Home)=61.4%

Win probability 1X2

Meppen (H) 61.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bremer SV (A) 16.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meppen face Bremer SV in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meppen a 61% chance, the draw 23% and Bremer SV 16%, so Meppen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Meppen and 1.0 for Bremer SV (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meppen are averaging 2.53 points per game versus 1.36 for Bremer SV. This match finished 2-3.

Meppen vs Bremer SV Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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