Samtredia face Bolnisi on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Samtredia a 31% chance, the draw 30% and Bolnisi 39%, so Bolnisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Samtredia and 1.4 for Bolnisi (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Samtredia are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Bolnisi. This match finished 2-1.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)