Today / Meshakhte vs Iberia

Meshakhte vs Iberia Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Meshakhte

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

Iberia

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.9%0-118.8%0-28.8%0-32.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.4%1-112.6%1-25.9%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-04.5%2-14.2%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.0%3-10.9%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 38.4% — — —

Away win 38.5% — — —

Over 2.5 22.0% — — —

Over 3.5 8.1% — — —

BTTS 31.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob31.7%

A 38% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 22% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.9%

#2 0–1 18.8%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 13.4%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meshakhte0.7

Iberia0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 22.0% · O3.5 PROB 8.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MESHAKHTE · PPG 1.00

IBERIA · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Meshakhte (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iberia (A) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meshakhte face Iberia on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meshakhte a 23% chance, the draw 38% and Iberia 39%, so Iberia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Meshakhte and 0.9 for Iberia (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 22% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meshakhte are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Iberia. This match finished 1-4.

Meshakhte vs Iberia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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