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Armenia - Premier League
Regular Season - 24
Football Academy Stadium· Yerevan
Saturday, May 2, 2026
12:00
BKMA
PPG 1.00
2-2
MISS
Alashkert
PPG 1.82
Home· +39.9%
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
25.9%
Odds: 5.40
EV: +39.9%
Draw
30.7%
Odds: 3.70
EV: +13.6%
Away
43.4%
Odds: 1.55
EV: -32.7%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
43.9%
Odds: 1.85
-18.8%
Over 3.5
22.8%
Odds: 3.20
-27.0%
BTTS
50.4%
Odds: 1.85
-6.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
BKMA
1.03
Alashkert
1.40
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-6.8%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+39.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)