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Armenia - Premier League logo Armenia flag Armenia - Premier League Regular Season - 24 Football Academy Stadium· Yerevan Saturday, May 2, 2026 12:00
BKMA logo BKMA PPG 1.00
2-2 MISS
Alashkert logo Alashkert PPG 1.82
Home· +39.9% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.9%
Odds: 5.40 EV: +39.9%
Draw 30.7%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +13.6%
Away 43.4%
Odds: 1.55 EV: -32.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.9% Odds: 1.85 -18.8%
Over 3.5 22.8% Odds: 3.20 -27.0%
BTTS 50.4% Odds: 1.85 -6.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

BKMA
1.03
Alashkert
1.40

Model Suggestion

BTTS -6.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+39.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

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