Today / Zhejiang vs Shenzhen

Zhejiang vs Shenzhen Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Zhejiang

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shenzhen

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-18.5%0-24.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.3%1-112.4%1-26.8%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.1%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.0%3-14.4%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% — — —

Draw 29.9% — — —

Away win 26.6% — — —

Over 2.5 47.0% — — —

Over 3.5 25.4% — — —

BTTS 52.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.9%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.8%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zhejiang1.5

Shenzhen1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.0% · O3.5 PROB 25.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.25

SHENZHEN · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Zhejiang (H) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shenzhen (A) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zhejiang face Shenzhen on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zhejiang a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Shenzhen 27%, so Zhejiang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Zhejiang and 1.1 for Shenzhen (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zhejiang are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Shenzhen.

Zhejiang vs Shenzhen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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