Today / India - Indian Super League / NorthEast Utd vs Inter Kashi

NorthEast Utd vs Inter Kashi Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 11:30

NorthEast Utd

PPG 0.60 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Inter Kashi

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-113.3%0-28.5%0-33.6%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.2%1-113.1%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.0%2-16.5%2-24.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.7%3-12.1%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.7% 44.4% 2.25 -39.9%

Draw 32.1% 30.8% 3.25 +4.3%

Away win 41.2% 34.5% 2.90 +19.5%

Over 2.5 39.5% 50.0% 2.00 -21.0%

Over 3.5 19.4% 29.0% 3.45 -33.1%

BTTS 47.3% 57.8% 1.73 -18.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.3%

A 41% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.4%

#3 0–1 13.3%

#4 0–2 8.5%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NorthEast Utd1.0

Inter Kashi1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.5% · O3.5 PROB 19.4%

Form & verdict PPG

NORTHEAST UTD · PPG 0.60

INTER KASHI · PPG 1.33

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

NorthEast Utd (H) 26.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -39.9%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +4.3%

Inter Kashi (A) 41.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +19.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

NorthEast Utd face Inter Kashi in India - Indian Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NorthEast Utd a 27% chance, the draw 32% and Inter Kashi 41%, so Inter Kashi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for NorthEast Utd and 1.3 for Inter Kashi (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NorthEast Utd are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.33 for Inter Kashi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.5%. This match finished 3-2.

NorthEast Utd vs Inter Kashi Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Indian Super League Predictions