Today / Ipswich Town vs QP Rangers

Ipswich Town vs QP Rangers Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Ipswich Town

PPG 2.14 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

QP Rangers

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=53.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-16.2%0-23.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.8%1-111.0%1-25.6%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.8%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.7%3-15.8%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.9%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 19.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.2% — — —

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 54.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.9%

H 54% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1✓ 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.6%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ipswich Town1.8

QP Rangers1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IPSWICH TOWN · PPG 2.14

QP RANGERS · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=53.6%

Win probability 1X2

Ipswich Town (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

QP Rangers (A) 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich Town face QP Rangers on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich Town a 54% chance, the draw 27% and QP Rangers 20%, so Ipswich Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ipswich Town and 1.0 for QP Rangers (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich Town are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.14 for QP Rangers. This match finished 2-1.

Ipswich Town vs QP Rangers Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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