Today / Riteriai vs TransINVEST

Riteriai vs TransINVEST Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Riteriai

PPG 0.50 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

TransINVEST

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-113.2%0-212.5%0-37.9%0-4+5.8%1 1-05.3%1-110.1%1-29.6%1-36.1%1-4+4.5%2 2-02.0%2-13.9%2-23.7%2-32.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-00.5%3-11.0%3-20.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.9% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 62.7% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.0% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob47.2%

A 63% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.5%

#2 1–1 10.1%

#3 0–1 13.2%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Riteriai0.8

TransINVEST1.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RITERIAI · PPG 0.50

TRANSINVEST · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Riteriai (H) 12.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TransINVEST (A) 62.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Riteriai face TransINVEST on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Riteriai a 13% chance, the draw 24% and TransINVEST 63%, so TransINVEST are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Riteriai and 1.9 for TransINVEST (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Riteriai are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.80 for TransINVEST. This match finished 0-5.

Riteriai vs TransINVEST Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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