Today / Gdansk W vs Stomilanki O. W
Gdansk W vs Stomilanki O. W Prediction
Saturday, May 2, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 59% / xG 2.4-1.4 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 68%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.1%
Form & verdict
GDANSK W · PPG 1.44
STOMILANKI O. W · PPG 0.43
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=58.8%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Gdansk W face Stomilanki O. W on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gdansk W a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Stomilanki O. W 20%, so Gdansk W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Gdansk W and 1.4 for Stomilanki O. W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gdansk W are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.43 for Stomilanki O. W. This match finished 1-3.