MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 32 Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium· Budapest Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:00

MTK Budapest PPG 1.50

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Nyiregyhaza PPG 1.20

Over3.5· +29.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

MTK Budapest face Nyiregyhaza in Hungary - NB I on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MTK Budapest a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Nyiregyhaza 30%, so MTK Budapest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for MTK Budapest and 1.6 for Nyiregyhaza (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MTK Budapest are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.20 for Nyiregyhaza. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +29.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.7%

Odds: 2.38 EV: +8.8%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -17.9%

Away 29.8%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -19.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.5% Odds: 1.73 +18.5%

Over 3.5 47.0% Odds: 2.75 +29.3%

BTTS 69.4% Odds: 1.55 +7.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

MTK Budapest

1.96

Nyiregyhaza

1.57

Model SuggestionBTTS +7.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+29.3%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)