Today / Streymur B vs HB T. B

Streymur B vs HB T. B Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Streymur B
PPG 0.75 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
HB T. B
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.5%0-23.8%0-32.7%0-4+2.4%1 1-03.2%1-16.9%1-27.4%1-35.3%1-4+4.8%2 2-03.1%2-16.8%2-27.3%2-35.2%2-4+4.7%3 3-02.0%3-14.4%3-24.8%3-33.4%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.4%4+-23.6%4+-32.6%4+-4+2.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.1%
Draw 22.4%
Away win 42.6%
Over 2.5 77.8%
Over 3.5 58.9%
BTTS 77.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob77.0%

A 43% / xG 2.0-2.2 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 77%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.9%
#2 1–2 7.4%
#3 2–2 7.3%
#4 2–1 6.8%
#5 1–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Streymur B2.0
HB T. B2.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.8% · O3.5 PROB 58.9%

Form & verdict PPG

STREYMUR B · PPG 0.75

HB T. B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Streymur B (H) 35.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
HB T. B (A) 42.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Streymur B face HB T. B on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Streymur B a 35% chance, the draw 22% and HB T. B 43%, so HB T. B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Streymur B and 2.2 for HB T. B (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Streymur B are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.00 for HB T. B. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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