Today / Metalist U19 vs Polissya U19

Metalist U19 vs Polissya U19 Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Metalist U19

PPG 1.75 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Polissya U19

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-112.4%0-27.5%0-33.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.9%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.8%2-17.1%2-24.3%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.1%3-12.5%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.1% — — —

Draw 32.4% — — —

Away win 37.5% — — —

Over 2.5 39.8% — — —

Over 3.5 19.6% — — —

BTTS 48.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.1%

D 32% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.2%

#3 0–1 12.4%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Metalist U191.1

Polissya U191.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.6%

Form & verdict PPG

METALIST U19 · PPG 1.75

POLISSYA U19 · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Metalist U19 (H) 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Polissya U19 (A) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Metalist U19 face Polissya U19 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Metalist U19 a 30% chance, the draw 32% and Polissya U19 38%, so Polissya U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Metalist U19 and 1.2 for Polissya U19 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Metalist U19 are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.83 for Polissya U19. This match finished 3-1.

Metalist U19 vs Polissya U19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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