Oleksandria vs Kolos Kovalivka Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 26 KSK Nika· Oleksandria Saturday, May 2, 2026 10:00

Oleksandria PPG 0.58

0-3 MISS

Kolos Kovalivka PPG 1.58

Away· -5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Oleksandria face Kolos Kovalivka in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oleksandria a 20% chance, the draw 31% and Kolos Kovalivka 49%, so Kolos Kovalivka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Oleksandria and 1.4 for Kolos Kovalivka (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oleksandria are averaging 0.58 points per game versus 1.58 for Kolos Kovalivka. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.2%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -21.2%

Draw 31.1%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -8.3%

Away 48.7%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -5.0%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.3% Odds: 2.45 -6.2%

Over 3.5 18.5% Odds: 4.75 -12.1%

BTTS 44.1% Odds: 2.05 -9.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Oleksandria

0.82

Kolos Kovalivka

1.40

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.58) vs Home POOR (0.58)