Today / Gyori ETO W vs Ujpest W

Gyori ETO W vs Ujpest W Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Gyori ETO W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Ujpest W

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.7%0-21.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.9%1-16.9%1-24.8%1-32.2%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.3%2-18.8%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.3%3-17.5%3-25.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-18.8%4+-26.1%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.5% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 18.5% — — —

Over 2.5 75.4% — — —

Over 3.5 55.6% — — —

BTTS 70.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob70.4%

H 62% / xG 2.6-1.4 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyori ETO W2.6

Ujpest W1.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.4% · O3.5 PROB 55.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GYORI ETO W · PPG 2.00

UJPEST W · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Gyori ETO W (H) 61.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ujpest W (A) 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyori ETO W face Ujpest W on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyori ETO W a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Ujpest W 19%, so Gyori ETO W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Gyori ETO W and 1.4 for Ujpest W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyori ETO W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.67 for Ujpest W. This match finished 0-2.

Gyori ETO W vs Ujpest W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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