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Teutonia O. vs Nikola Tesla Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 21 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 10:00

Teutonia O.

PPG 1.60 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Nikola Tesla

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.0%0-22.1%0-31.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-02.6%1-15.2%1-25.3%1-33.6%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.3%2-16.7%2-26.8%2-34.7%2-4+3.8%3 3-02.8%3-15.7%3-25.9%3-34.0%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-16.8%4+-26.9%4+-34.7%4+-4+3.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 30.5% — — —

Over 2.5 83.8% — — —

Over 3.5 67.6% — — —

BTTS 81.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob81.1%

H 49% / xG 2.6-2.0 / O2.5 84% / BTTS 81%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 2–1✓ 6.7%

#3 1–1 5.2%

#4 3–2 5.9%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teutonia O.2.6

Nikola Tesla2.0

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.8% · O3.5 PROB 67.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TEUTONIA O. · PPG 1.60

NIKOLA TESLA · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Teutonia O. (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nikola Tesla (A) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Teutonia O. face Nikola Tesla in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teutonia O. a 49% chance, the draw 20% and Nikola Tesla 31%, so Teutonia O. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Teutonia O. and 2.0 for Nikola Tesla (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teutonia O. are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.27 for Nikola Tesla. This match finished 2-1.

Teutonia O. vs Nikola Tesla Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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