St George City vs Sydney FC B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 13 Penshurst Park Saturday, May 2, 2026 09:15

St George City PPG 1.33

0-5 MISS

Sydney FC B PPG 1.00

Draw· +2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

St George City face Sydney FC B in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St George City a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Sydney FC B 36%, so Sydney FC B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for St George City and 1.3 for Sydney FC B (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St George City are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Sydney FC B. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.7%. This match finished 0-5.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.5%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -24.6%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +2.7%

Away 36.4%

Odds: 2.75 EV: +0.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.1% Odds: 1.80 -13.4%

Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: 3.00 -20.8%

BTTS 54.7% Odds: 1.65 -9.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

St George City

1.27

Sydney FC B

1.33

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+2.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)