Today / Dukla P. U19 vs Plzen U19

Dukla P. U19 vs Plzen U19 Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Dukla P. U19
PPG 1.73 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Plzen U19
PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.9%0-23.4%0-32.0%0-4+1.3%1 1-04.6%1-18.0%1-27.0%1-34.1%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.2%3-15.6%3-24.9%3-32.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.6%4+-24.1%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.3%
Draw 23.5%
Away win 32.2%
Over 2.5 73.1%
Over 3.5 52.6%
BTTS 73.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob73.1%

H 44% / xG 2.1-1.7 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%
#2 2–1 8.2%
#3 2–2 7.2%
#4 1–2 7.0%
#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dukla P. U192.1
Plzen U191.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.1% · O3.5 PROB 52.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DUKLA P. U19 · PPG 1.73

PLZEN U19 · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Dukla P. U19 (H) 44.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Plzen U19 (A) 32.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dukla P. U19 face Plzen U19 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dukla P. U19 a 44% chance, the draw 24% and Plzen U19 32%, so Dukla P. U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Dukla P. U19 and 1.7 for Plzen U19 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dukla P. U19 are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.27 for Plzen U19. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

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