S George Saints vs WS Wanderers B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 13 St George Stadium Saturday, May 2, 2026 08:30

S George Saints PPG 1.80

0-4 MISS

WS Wanderers B PPG 1.29

Away· +15.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

S George Saints face WS Wanderers B in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S George Saints a 39% chance, the draw 29% and WS Wanderers B 32%, so S George Saints are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for S George Saints and 1.3 for WS Wanderers B (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S George Saints are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.29 for WS Wanderers B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.2%. This match finished 0-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.6%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -30.5%

Draw 29.4%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +10.3%

Away 32.0%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +15.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.7% Odds: 1.57 -20.4%

Over 3.5 28.6% Odds: 2.45 -29.9%

BTTS 56.6% Odds: 1.50 -15.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

S George Saints

1.42

WS Wanderers B

1.28

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+15.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)