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S George Saints vs WS Wanderers B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 08:30

S George Saints

PPG 1.80 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

WS Wanderers B

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-18.6%0-25.5%0-32.3%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.5%1-112.2%1-27.8%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-18.7%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.2%3-14.1%3-22.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% 55.6% 1.80 -30.5%

Draw 29.4% 26.7% 3.75 +10.3%

Away win 32.0% 27.8% 3.60 +15.2%

Over 2.5 50.7% 63.7% 1.57 -20.4%

Over 3.5 28.6% 40.8% 2.45 -29.9%

BTTS 56.6% 66.7% 1.50 -15.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob56.6%

D 29% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 0–0 6.7%

#4 1–2 7.8%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S George Saints1.4

WS Wanderers B1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

S GEORGE SAINTS · PPG 1.80

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 1.29

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

S George Saints (H) 38.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -30.5%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +10.3%

WS Wanderers B (A) 32.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +15.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

S George Saints face WS Wanderers B in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S George Saints a 39% chance, the draw 29% and WS Wanderers B 32%, so S George Saints are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for S George Saints and 1.3 for WS Wanderers B (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S George Saints are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.29 for WS Wanderers B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.2%. This match finished 0-4.

S George Saints vs WS Wanderers B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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