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Australia - New South Wales NPL Saturday, May 2, 2026 07:00 
SD Raiders PPG 1.17 
APIA Leichhardt PPG 1.60
Australia - New South Wales NPL Saturday, May 2, 2026 07:00 SD Raiders PPG 1.172-3 MISS
APIA Leichhardt PPG 1.60Home· +2.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 65.0% Odds: 1.45 -5.8%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 2.20 -5.2%
BTTS 64.2% Odds: 1.50 -3.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-2 ✘
4th 1-3 ✘
5th 2-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
SD Raiders 1.26
APIA Leichhardt 2.09
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
DANGER 45%
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.17) vs Away GOOD (1.60)