Sutherland S. vs Marconi S. Prediction & Tips

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Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 13 Seymour Shaw Park Saturday, May 2, 2026 06:00

Sutherland S. PPG 1.50

2-4 MISS

Marconi S. PPG 2.11

Home· +22.9% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.3%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +22.9%

Draw 29.2%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +11.0%

Away 43.5%

Odds: 1.64 EV: -28.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.6% Odds: 1.80 -10.7%

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.00 -16.9%

BTTS 55.1% Odds: 1.77 -2.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sutherland S.

1.15

Marconi S.

1.50

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+22.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs Home GOOD (1.50)