Today / Avondale vs George Cross

Avondale vs George Cross Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Avondale

PPG 2.00 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

George Cross

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-17.8%0-24.0%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.8%1-112.1%1-26.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.4%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.7%3-14.8%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.6% — — —

Draw 29.1% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 47.5% — — —

Over 3.5 25.9% — — —

BTTS 52.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.4%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 11.8%

#3 0–0 7.6%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 2–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Avondale1.5

George Cross1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AVONDALE · PPG 2.00

GEORGE CROSS · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Avondale (H) 47.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

George Cross (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Avondale face George Cross on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Avondale a 48% chance, the draw 29% and George Cross 23%, so Avondale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Avondale and 1.0 for George Cross (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Avondale are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.20 for George Cross. This match finished 5-2.

Avondale vs George Cross Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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