Today / NGU Nagoya W vs Kamogawa W

NGU Nagoya W vs Kamogawa W Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

NGU Nagoya W

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kamogawa W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-18.7%0-26.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.2%1-111.9%1-28.6%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.1%2-25.9%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.5%3-13.7%3-22.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 37.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 31.1% — — —

BTTS 58.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.7%

D 29% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 0–0 6.0%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NGU Nagoya W1.4

Kamogawa W1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

NGU NAGOYA W · PPG 1.25

KAMOGAWA W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

NGU Nagoya W (H) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kamogawa W (A) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NGU Nagoya W face Kamogawa W on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NGU Nagoya W a 34% chance, the draw 29% and Kamogawa W 38%, so Kamogawa W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for NGU Nagoya W and 1.4 for Kamogawa W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NGU Nagoya W are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Kamogawa W. This match finished 0-2.

NGU Nagoya W vs Kamogawa W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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