Sporting CP B vs Benfica B Prediction & Tips

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Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 32 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira· Alcochete Friday, May 1, 2026 19:30

Sporting CP B PPG 1.40

0-1 MISS

Benfica B PPG 1.07

Home· +9.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.5%

Odds: 2.58 EV: +9.7%

Draw 30.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -0.0%

Away 27.1%

Odds: 2.52 EV: -31.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.7% Odds: 1.83 -16.4%

Over 3.5 24.3% Odds: 3.10 -24.7%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.62 -15.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP B

1.41

Benfica B

1.09

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)